Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.054738 0.063824 0.073797 0.085535 0.098950 0.113782 0.131399
2025-03-02 0.040462 0.052233 0.066356 0.084463 0.106967 0.133915 0.168516
2025-03-09 0.031954 0.045130 0.062218 0.085803 0.117276 0.157563 0.212723
2025-03-16 0.024699 0.037894 0.056268 0.083369 0.121893 0.174176 0.249862
2025-03-23 0.021266 0.035078 0.055536 0.087480 0.135387 0.203673 0.307205
2025-03-30 0.017815 0.031467 0.052892 0.088162 0.143724 0.226533 0.357432
2025-04-06 0.014588 0.027523 0.048977 0.086106 0.147357 0.242503 0.398802
2025-04-13 0.012152 0.024400 0.045795 0.084586 0.151352 0.259066 0.442288
2025-04-20 0.011058 0.023444 0.046077 0.088791 0.165023 0.292017 0.514478
2025-04-27 0.009986 0.022313 0.045835 0.091950 0.177123 0.323355 0.586647
2025-05-04 0.008428 0.019909 0.042835 0.089608 0.179122 0.337650 0.631225
2025-05-11 0.007314 0.018208 0.040909 0.088972 0.184022 0.357223 0.686317
2025-05-18 0.006173 0.016250 0.038215 0.086565 0.185510 0.371207 0.733509
2025-05-25 0.005258 0.014623 0.035954 0.084712 0.187833 0.386912 0.785243
2025-06-01 0.004686 0.013705 0.035088 0.085663 0.195841 0.413980 0.860352
2025-06-08 0.003965 0.012246 0.032747 0.083040 0.196109 0.426031 0.907760
2025-06-15 0.003728 0.012029 0.033305 0.087035 0.210872 0.468033 1.016890
2025-06-22 0.003336 0.011294 0.032473 0.087662 0.218310 0.495778 1.099772
2025-06-29 0.002870 0.010233 0.030631 0.085591 0.219430 0.510477 1.157265
2025-07-06 0.002493 0.009350 0.029103 0.084067 0.221596 0.527494 1.220778
2025-07-13 0.002377 0.009277 0.029771 0.088241 0.237648 0.575790 1.353804
2025-07-20 0.002232 0.009072 0.030033 0.091379 0.251505 0.620321 1.481902
2025-07-27 0.001928 0.008243 0.028350 0.089048 0.251617 0.634071 1.543975